UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland

UFC 312 is here! This weekend, we'll witness the highly anticipated rematch between middleweight champion Dricus du Plessis and Sean Strickland. The co-main event features a thrilling clash of champions as strawweight queen Zhang Weili defends her title against the undefeated Tatiana Suarez. While these two title fights are undoubtedly the highlights, the overall card feels a bit underwhelming. It's a bit disappointing to see only four ranked fighters on the entire card. Let's break down the main card and see how the action unfolds.

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Main + Prelims

• Dricus du Plesses vs Sean Stickland

• Zhang Weili vs Tatiana Suarez

• Justin Tafa vs Tallison Teixeira

• Jimmy Crute vs Rodolfo Bellato

• Jake Matthews vs Francisco Prado

Prelim Matches:

• Jake Jenkins vs Gabriel Santos

• Tom Nolan vs Viacheslav Borshchev

• Wang Cong vs Bruna Brasil

• Colby Thicknesse vs Aleksandre Topuria

• Rongzhu vs Kody Steele

• Jonathan Micallef vs Kevin Jousset

• Quillan Salkilld vs Anshul Jubli

• Hyun Sung Park vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Jake Matthews vs Francisco Prado

Kicking off the card is an interesting matchup between Australian native Jake Matthews and Francisco Prado. It's fantastic to see Matthews competing in his home country. He's a seasoned UFC veteran with 10 years of experience under his belt. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, he hasn't always been consistent in his victories. However, he's coming off a solid win over Phil Rowe, which should give him some momentum.

Prado, on the other hand, is a young and hungry prospect with a 1-2 record in the UFC. This fight represents a crucial step in his development.

Prediction:

Matthews' experience and the home-field advantage should give him the edge. I'm predicting Jake Matthews to win by decision.

Jimmy Crute vs Rodolfo Bellato

This matchup features Jimmy Crute fighting in front of his home crowd, which should provide a significant boost. Crute, a fan favorite, has faced some adversity recently with three losses in his last four fights. However, he boast victories over Sam Alvey and Paul Craig, showcasing his potential.

Rodolfo Bellato enters this fight on a four-fight win streak, demonstrating a strong upward trajectory in his career. This fight presents a significant challenge for Crute, who needs to regain his momentum.

Prediction:

While Crute has the home-field advantage, Bellato's recent momentum and striking power make him a dangerous opponent.

My Prediction: I'm leaning towards Rodolfo Bellato to win by TKO in the second round.

Justin Tafa vs Tallison Teixeria

Next up, we have Justin Tafa, a fan favorite fighting in front of his home crowd, taking on the undefeated Tallison Teixeira. Tafa is known for his explosive power and possesses one-punch knockout potential. However, his record reflects a dependence on finishes, as all four of his losses have come via decision.

Teixeira enters the UFC with an undefeated record and a dominant performance on Dana White's Contender Series, securing a first-round knockout.  

This is a difficult fight to predict. While Tafa has the home-field advantage and knockout power, Teixeira's undefeated record and impressive debut on the Contender Series make him a formidable opponent. It will come down to who catches who first!

My Prediction: This fight has the potential to be a thrilling exchange. I'm leaning towards Justin Tafa to secure a first-round knockout and excite the home crowd.

Co-Main: Zhang Weili vs Tatiana Suarez

This co-main event is a highly anticipated clash of styles between two dominant champions. Zhang Weili, a former champion, is known for her versatility and striking prowess. She possesses a well-rounded game, with a 53% striking accuracy and 46% takedown accuracy, showcasing her ability to control the fight both on the feet and on the ground.  

Tatiana Suarez, undefeated in her UFC career, is a grappling phenom with incredible wrestling and submission skills. Her striking has also improved significantly, adding another dimension to her game.  

This is a true chess match between two elite athletes.

Prediction:

The key factor in this fight could be championship rounds. Zhang has proven her championship mettle in the past, while Suarez is untested in five-round fights.

My Prediction: I'm leaning towards Zhang Weili to win by decision. Her experience in championship rounds and her well-rounded skillset should give her a slight edge.

Main Event: Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland

This rematch is the main event and promises to be a thrilling clash of styles. Their first encounter was a closely contested battle, with Dricus du Plessis edging out a split decision victory. While Strickland landed more significant strikes, Du Plessis effectively utilized his wrestling, securing six takedowns throughout the fight.  

Strickland is known for his aggressive pressure and forward movement, but this approach could leave him vulnerable to Du Plessis's wrestling. Du Plessis possesses an unorthodox and powerful striking style, often relying on unconventional techniques.  

Prediction:

This fight is a rematch of a close contest, and I expect another hard-fought battle.

  • If Du Plessis can control the pace and utilize his wrestling effectively: He should be able to maintain control and potentially secure another decision victory.

  • If Strickland can stuff the takedowns and land significant strikes consistently: He could potentially turn the tide and avenge his previous loss.

My Prediction: Given Du Plessis's well-rounded skillset and his ability to dictate the pace, I'm leaning towards Dricus du Plessis to win by decision.

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